Nov
14
2009
Most people know that you buy stocks and wait for a price appreciation to take place in order to make a capital gain. Can you make a capital gain when there is price depreciation in your stocks? Many beginning investors get confused when they realize that it is possible to make money when the stock falls in price. In practice, shorting a stock is as easy as buying stocks once you get hang of it. When the market is falling, investors sell short a stock with the goal of profiting from the fall in the price of that stock.
When you short a stock, you borrow it from you broker and sell it with the intention of buying it back at a lower price in the near term future and returning it to your broker. The difference between the selling price and the buying price in case the price goes down is your profit.
You are anticipating further fall in the price of the stock when you short a stock. When the price of a stock goes down, you make profit. However, if the price of the stock instead of going down starts to go up, you get a loss.
Many people are afraid of short selling stocks. They are right to some extent. Theoretically a stock price can go up and up making your loss as big as infinity. In such a scenario, your loss can be infinite. So shorting a stock without proper risk and money management is not wise. However, before that happens most probably you will receive a margin call from your broker that leads to a forced sale before your losses reach unmanageable proportions.
In the stock market crash of 2008, many financial companies went bankrupt due to the short selling of their shares by the speculators. Some people are against the strategy of shorting stocks. A temporary ban was put on shorting for sometime during that period.
However, the goal of short selling is not to drive the price of a stock to zero and put the company out of business. In swing trading, we are simply looking to profit from the ups and downs of stock prices. When the price of a stock goes down, short selling is the best swing trading strategy.
Stock prices are highly susceptible to negative news. Negative news like poor earning, credit rating downgrade or a poor product launch can bring down a stock price in a matter of minutes and wipe out the steady gains made in months. One reason why swing traders love short selling is due to the velocity of the moves! Stock prices plunge when negative news is released.
Swing traders always look for big winners and this brings them to the short side of the market. When the price of a stock starts to fall, chances are it will fall more before the market stabilizes and the price starts to rise again. Shot selling can be a good hedging strategy for long term investors too. So if you a long term investor, you can lessen the impact of the sharp price drop on your portfolio by using a short selling hedging strategy.
Mr. Ahmad Hassam has done Masters from Harvard University. Try This Cash Printing Forex Signal Service From Heaven! Learn Swing Trading! Get a totally unique version of this article from our article submission service
Tags: Business, day trading, ecommerce, Finance, forex, futures, investing, market news, Mutual funds, options, real estate, stocks, trading, wealth building
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Jan
26
2009
by David Greene
For the past several months crude oil prices have been difficult to understand. The price fluctuations have been extreme. While moving from a high of about $147.00 a barrel in July 2008, to a recent low of just under $32.00 a barrel, crude oil prices experienced gut wrenching daily volatility. To say that the market have been unusually volatile is an understatement.
There is little hope of near term price stability in crude oil markets. The worldwide financial market meltdown has contributed to a slow down in demand as economic activity decreases. This slow down in demand is offset by a continued decline of crude oil production at the world’s major oil fields. The long term growth in oil products demand in high growth rate countries like China, India, and Brazil, will keep supply and demand closely balanced. Even in the US the economic slowdown has only marginally decreased the consumption of crude oil and refined products. This will keep crude oil markets extremely volatile as small changes in supply will have a large effect on price.
Oil exploration and production projects have been cancelled due to current relatively low crude oil prices. Interest in alternative energy projects have decreased along with the fall in the price of oil. These events are setting the stage for another price explosion within the next couple of years.
There is little hope that at any time in the foreseeable future any combination of alternative energy sources will replace the dependence of the developed world upon oil as the prime energy resource. While American politicians talk of America becoming imported oil independent within ten years that goal is all but impossible to achieve. Even with an intense effort alternative fuels can not replace crude oil as an energy source in time to prevent demand for oil far out pacing supply.
Without ample low priced crude oil supplies there is little realistic hope of restoring the world economy to what it was prior to the run up in energy prices. The United States built a world leading powerful economy on the back of cheap energy supplies, especially crude oil. Crude oil is the raw material input for so many products, like gasoline, jet fuel, and plastics, that scarcity and high prices will lead to a complete transformation of our world. The American dream of driving great distances from houses in the suburbs to businesses in the cities with huge shopping malls in between will soon be viewed as one of the great mistakes of economic development.
America is not well prepared for the transformation that will soon come. The age of cheap easily accessed crude oil supplies is nearly at an end. Even the current low price due to the worldwide deleveraging of debt and the resultant financial meltdown is bad news for the American economy.
While low crude oil prices are generally welcomed by the consumer at low prices the exploration and drilling of new crude oil fields are delayed or cancelled. Alternative energy development slows as with a low price for crude oil alternative energy resources are not price competitive. And worse of all the need for energy conservation is soon forgotten.
Present low prices for crude oil are setting the stage for the next price bubble for this finite resource. US government measures will try to sustain the unsustainable and divert declining financial resources into trying to prop up the American automotive and suburb centered cheap energy based consumer economy. This misguided effort will prove to be futile. Resources that would be better used to develop, say rapid rail transit and compact cities, will be wasted in trying to support the culture of the automobile.
Trillions of dollars that the US no longer has will be wasted in trying to do business as usual. We are basically betting our future on being able to keep crude oil prices at yesterday’s price level and availability. This is a risky bet that we can not win as within five years peak oil becomes an unpleasant fact of life and oil prices move to new highs. The US must do its best to adjust to a world of scarce oil resources and create new opportunities out of the energy challenge or living standards will drastically decline.
Tags: commodities, commodity, commodity futures, crude oil, crude oil drilling, crude oil exploration, crude oil futures, crude oil prices. crude oil charts, Finance, financial, futures, investing, natural resources, trading
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